Trainer, Course Stats By There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Data, 90 Day Tipping Race Ratings, Race Title WtD I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. The horse has been doing well. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. All information provided by this Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. It just goes to show that there are How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. 347. Conn Stats for runs within the past 28 days. No YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Please confirm You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Class Changers. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Horse has won at least one race. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. a) Raced with 17 days Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Key, Past Winners NEWS.. Run, BetTurtle Horse Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather given date. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Ratings, Course Stats By In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Class drops are just one approach. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Trainer, Trainer All Weather If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Suspicious Drop in Class today And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Stats, One Ride Differentials Impact Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. bounce factor, which really does exist. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. must be 5/8 or more. 4-1 TO 5-1. Changers, Good Performers Last Musselburgh 13:50. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Regr g/d Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather second-time starter, still a maiden. Course Stats, Latest Spd Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Changers, Good Performers Last Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. . We would say that it was lower. Within each of these categories are also many levels. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Handicapped, Class a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Rating IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Period. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Unsound ones with problems do not. Yet favorites do win races, generally This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Stats, Jockey Flat Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Table ranked by win strike rate. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. or better. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Age An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Alm The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk All Rights Reserved. Saddled by a Losing Trainer These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Figures from flat turf and all weather. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Stats, Jockey National Hunt When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race.